Polymarket Trader

28763

0x7270ce164903ab8d66d0358ba003c78235dbadd3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.09K
Realized PnL: $5.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $499.45
Potential payout: $989
Potential profit: $489.56
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$291.75

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $259.84
Potential payout: $928
Potential profit: $668.16
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$46.4

Yes position

Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $325.62
Potential payout: $804
Potential profit: $478.38
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$172.86

Yes position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $59.84
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$29.95

Yes position

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $8.37
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $22.63
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $3.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran strike Oman again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $583.04

Yes position

Will "Dandelion" - Ella Langley debut week album sales be at least 140k?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $429.12

No position

Will Trump say "JD" or "Vance" during events with Rutte?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $401.36

Yes position

Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.56

Yes position

Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.23

Mid-America Christian Evangels position

Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $257.04

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.32

Yes position

Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $252.45

Yes position

Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.29

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.32

Yes position

Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.75

No position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.35

Yes position

Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $159.9

Yes position

Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.42

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be between 2,300,000 and 2,400,000?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $104.86

No position

Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $97.24

Yes position

Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $96.69

No position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $81.76

Yes position

Will "MAGA" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.29

No position

Will "The Rip" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.4

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Opportunity" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.18

No position

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $74.41

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 108 shares
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 16 shares
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 40 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?

No 22% 635 shares
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

No 68% 1,063 shares
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

No 57% 632 shares
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?

No 45% 307 shares
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?

No 45% 366 shares
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

No 61% 1,063 shares
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?

No 46% 673 shares
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

No 60% 632 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?

No 49% 635 shares