Polymarket Trader

dadsgbe

@ElizabethY88214

0x727dcdc1ced02eba986b44ad73144aff5358e9b1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.96
Realized PnL: $50.49
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.56
Potential profit: $15.56
User PnL: -$15

No position

MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 29-August 4?

Ends Aug 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.76
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.86
Potential profit: $10.86
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.03
Potential profit: $10.03
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.11
Potential profit: $9.11
User PnL: -$5

No position

MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 15-21?

Ends Jul 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $8.62
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.11
Potential profit: $8.11
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.05
Potential profit: $8.05
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.42
Potential profit: $7.42
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$7

No position

Critical Discord Incident by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.82
Potential profit: $6.82
User PnL: -$6

No position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $6.41
User PnL: -$5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.33
Potential profit: $6.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.02
Potential profit: $6.02
User PnL: -$5

Up position

XRP Up or Down - September 1, 5AM ET

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $3.48
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$3.04

Yes position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.37
Potential profit: $5.37
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.21
Potential profit: $5.21
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $5.17
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.65
Potential profit: $4.65
User PnL: -$4

No position

South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.61
Potential profit: $3.61
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Oct 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

No position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

No position

Will Alexandra Leitão be elected Mayor of Lisbon?

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?

Ends Jul 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on September 26?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will CZ post 40-59 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 96.3% 12.46 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 92.1% 10.86 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 79% 6.33 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

No 85% 11.76 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 96% 10.42 shares
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

No 89.7% 18.95 shares
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

No 96.4% 15.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Up 95% 5.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

No 98.1% 7.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

No 97.5% 7.18 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

No 96.2% 7.28 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

No 97.5% 7.18 shares