Polymarket Trader

DFZ

0x727f3ca8053b8f1eb53b35a6da86a7dab37fbdc6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.51K
Realized PnL: $1.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $605.65
Potential payout: $71.25K
Potential profit: $70.65K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$320.64

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $307.41
Potential payout: $32.36K
Potential profit: $32.05K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$492.57

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $487.63
Potential payout: $29.55K
Potential profit: $29.07K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$512.36

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $690.99
Potential payout: $27.2K
Potential profit: $26.51K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $191

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67K
Potential profit: $16.67K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53K
Potential profit: $10.53K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $142.38
Potential payout: $10.17K
Potential profit: $10.03K
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$20.34

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.36K
Potential profit: $7.36K
User PnL: -$250

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.44K
Potential profit: $5.44K
User PnL: -$2.35K

No position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.44K
Potential profit: $5.44K
User PnL: -$3.08K

No position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $3.75K
User PnL: -$2.5K

No position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.18K
Potential profit: $3.18K
User PnL: -$2K

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.34K
Potential profit: $2.34K
User PnL: -$500

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $2.32K
User PnL: -$1.34K

Yes position

Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $271.77
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$100.31

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$660

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$419.61

90k position

Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.97
Potential profit: $999.97
User PnL: -$389.99

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $909.09
User PnL: -$100

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800.44
Potential profit: $800.44
User PnL: -$399

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $526.32
User PnL: -$100

Senegal position

Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $327.87
Potential profit: $327.87
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $324.23
Potential profit: $324.07
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$199.84

Côte dIvoire position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $212.77
Potential profit: $212.77
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $408.53

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.85

Yes position

Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.94

Yes position

Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.35

Yes position

Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.67

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 11% 36.36 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Senegal 61% 327.87 shares
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance

Sweden 12% 208.33 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Côte dIvoire 47% 212.77 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Japan 28% 107.14 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5% 7,364.55 shares
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 24% 1,552.95 shares
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 61.7% 324.23 shares
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 10,526.32 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 16,666.67 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 27,204.23 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.4% 14,729.11 shares