No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $163.64
- Potential payout
- $606.06
- Potential profit
- $442.42
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$36.36
Polymarket Trader
Degget13
0x7298b113ed275b0f7860891db3be3c626634a29f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $163.64
- Realized PnL
- $92.71
- Win rate
- 47.4%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.6
- Potential profit
- $161.6
- User PnL
- -$40.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.61
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.73
Gaethje position
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.19
3000 position
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.81
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.54
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.97
Yes position
UFC 318: Will Holloway win by decision?
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.49
Pantoja position
UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-France
Ends Jun 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
Topuria position
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
Ends Jun 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.95
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$7.73
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.74
Up position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34.52
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$34.54
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$43.17
Yes position
Citigroup launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45.09
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$65.07
Yes position
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$68.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 33% 303.03 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 33% 303.03 shares
- Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes 23.7% 334.69 shares
- Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?Yes 1.1% 2,307.73 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?Yes 0.3% 168.15 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?Yes 39% 168.15 shares
- Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes 29.9% 334.7 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?No 81.3% 203.66 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?No 30.9% 203.67 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 42% 143.93 shares
- Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?Yes 4% 2,307.74 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 74% 128.83 shares