Polymarket Trader

sidequest1

0x729f96d50699a1a413d626194b0e76fb07618ae9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.37
Realized PnL: $110.12
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Avalanche position

Avalanche vs. Wild

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $5.32
Potential payout: $67.3
Potential profit: $61.98
Multiplier: 12.66x
User PnL: -$4.68

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $16.35
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $22.12
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$3.65

Yes position

Kash Patel out by April 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.12
Potential profit: $36.12
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.6%
Current value: $4.71
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $27.55
Multiplier: 6.85x
User PnL: -$5.29

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Iowa position

Iowa vs. Vanderbilt

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.05

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34

Oregon position

Spread: Oregon (-2.5)

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.96

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.41

Under position

Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

Bills position

Bills vs. Jaguars

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

Duke Blue Devils position

Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.53

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.43

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Over position

Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 40.5

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Ohio State position

Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Georgia position

Spread: Georgia (-6.5)

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Grok 4.20 released by January 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

No 14.9% 67.3 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

No 31% 32.26 shares
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Under 44% 22.73 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 59% 172.41 shares
Avalanche vs. Wild

Avalanche 25% 80 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

No 66% 30.3 shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 52% 38.46 shares
Kash Patel out by April 30?

Yes 13.8% 36.12 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 84% 100 shares
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils

Duke Blue Devils 70.1% 28.43 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

No 72% 200 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

No 50% 200 shares