Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $17.22
- Potential profit
- $16.27
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Polymarket Trader
Kaelan
0x72a0170af087ea00e2481fd00434f96ae7325d96
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.96
- Realized PnL
- $38.02
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.55
- Potential profit
- $7.55
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the SPD be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.89
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.6
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.79
Yes position
Birthright citizenship ban blocked in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16
No position
Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
Yes position
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
Yes position
Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Yes position
Will Trump save TikTok in first week?
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will the Greens be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Yes position
Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Was JFK assassination an inside job?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.22
Yes position
Will NDP win between 10 and 15 seats in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will the Greens win 4+ seats in Australian Election?
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 9% 17.22 shares
- Will the Greens win 4+ seats in Australian Election?Yes 46% 21.74 shares
- Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes 6.1% 186.86 shares
- Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes 5.9% 186.86 shares
- Will the Greens win 4+ seats in Australian Election?Yes 43% 16.28 shares
- Will NDP win between 10 and 15 seats in the next Canadian Election?Yes 46% 15.22 shares
- Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes 97.7% 25.74 shares
- Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes 73% 10.08 shares
- Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?Yes 66.2% 7.55 shares
- Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes 78% 14.63 shares
- Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes 71% 7.04 shares
- Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes 58% 8.62 shares