Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $4.18K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $20.83K
- Multiplier
- 5.99x
- User PnL
- -$8.33K
Polymarket Trader
meowtai
0x72a22d4d155079da8f50c89d4c6c03b6428e7b65
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $101.27K
- Realized PnL
- $93.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Current value
- $20.83K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $4.18K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $8.33K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $10.72K
- Potential payout
- $10.75K
- Potential profit
- $26.87
- User PnL
- $16.12
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $9.29K
- Potential payout
- $9.36K
- Potential profit
- $65.51
- User PnL
- $143.99
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $4.09K
- Potential payout
- $7.24K
- Potential profit
- $3.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$163.05
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $4.73K
- Potential payout
- $4.75K
- Potential profit
- $21.37
- User PnL
- $87.97
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $3.53K
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $967.5
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$97.49
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $3.94K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $58.01
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $61.01
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.98K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- $19.02
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $3.75K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $250
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $33.2
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $3.26K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $740.4
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.92K
- Potential payout
- $3.94K
- Potential profit
- $17.72
- User PnL
- $20.29
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $74.82
- Potential payout
- $3.12K
- Potential profit
- $3.04K
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$101.84
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2.99K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $13.5
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $2.6K
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $338.18
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $321.54
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $2.69K
- Potential payout
- $2.91K
- Potential profit
- $218.28
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $89.67
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.52K
- Potential payout
- $2.88K
- Potential profit
- $359.4
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $362.2
Yes position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $2.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$597.05
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $2.13K
- Potential payout
- $2.55K
- Potential profit
- $420.95
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$9.55
No position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $2.39K
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $58.77
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $117.88
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $2.29K
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $94.17
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $70.75
No position
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $23.28
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $204.86
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.83K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $170
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $40
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $191.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.14K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.52K
Yes position
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.47K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76K
No position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.66K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64K
Yes position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 92.3% 675 shares
- Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?No 98.2% 34.44 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 91.5% 899.99 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.9% 5,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 925.47 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.6% 2,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.7% 2,500 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 83% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.8% 5,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 126.15 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 30.1% 30.59 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 30% 227.3 shares