Polymarket Trader

optimusx

0x72a796d3072d6e0af470f24a5dcf0c32941f8086

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.63
Realized PnL: $142.77
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 76 and 77 million views on day 5?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.11
Potential profit: $64.11
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will TPG (TPG) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.5
Potential profit: $44.5
User PnL: -$7.52

No position

Will Fox Corp (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.19
Potential profit: $35.19
User PnL: -$3.43

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $16.91
Potential payout: $26.62
Potential profit: $9.72
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.8

No position

Will Caseys General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$11.3

No position

Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.76
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.7

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.3

No position

Will HubSpot (HUBS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.1

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.3

No position

Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $5.61
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $3.82
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $1.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.35
Potential profit: $9.35
User PnL: -$0.93

Over position

Ajdukovic vs. Dodig: Match O/U 21.5

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $8.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $6.58
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.12

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.19
Potential profit: $7.19
User PnL: -$5.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.95

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2AM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7AM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3AM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

No position

Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

No position

Will ConocoPhillips (COP) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85

Over position

Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on March 21?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

T1 position

Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffs

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

No 69% 11.59 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

No 47.7% 31.46 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 59% 26.62 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

No 48% 6.25 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

No 81% 13.58 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Over 58% 8.62 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 64.3% 15.56 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 43.2% 4.63 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 43.1% 2.32 shares
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $990 Week of June 22 2026?

No 55% 1.82 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 61% 1.64 shares