No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 11-17?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.34K
- Potential profit
- $4.34K
- User PnL
- -$507.81
Polymarket Trader
travellier
0x72ae7d31981abb453784746e9da1d083e35c3808
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $695.19
- Realized PnL
- $7.59K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.39K
- Potential profit
- $3.39K
- User PnL
- -$532.68
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.19K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- User PnL
- -$648.48
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$608.12
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $376.21
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $627.02
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $65.21
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $660.57
- Potential profit
- $660.57
- User PnL
- -$357.3
Yes position
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times August 22–August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $435.77
- Potential profit
- $435.77
- User PnL
- -$108.59
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $421.79
- Potential profit
- $421.79
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $338.98
- Potential profit
- $338.98
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $318.97
- Potential payout
- $337.89
- Potential profit
- $18.92
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Yes position
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-09-24?
Ends Sep 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $309.09
- Potential profit
- $309.09
- User PnL
- -$182.36
Tigers position
Guardians vs. Tigers
Ends Sep 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.03
- Potential profit
- $303.03
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-20?
Ends Sep 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $238.1
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will New York City FC win on 2025-09-24?
Ends Sep 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.56
- Potential profit
- $232.56
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184.98
- Potential profit
- $184.98
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2025-09-20?
Ends Sep 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175.44
- Potential profit
- $175.44
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Girona win on 2025-09-20?
Ends Sep 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.19
- Potential profit
- $159.19
- User PnL
- -$82.78
Padres position
Padres vs. White Sox
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $156.25
- User PnL
- -$100
Arkansas State position
Arkansas State vs. Kennesaw State
Ends Sep 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $153.85
- User PnL
- -$100
Mets position
Nationals vs. Mets
Ends Sep 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $138.89
- User PnL
- -$100
Dream position
Fever vs. Dream
Ends Sep 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.76
- Potential profit
- $135.76
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 30-October 6?
Ends Oct 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $958.57
Yes position
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $753.01
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $634.3
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $551.47
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy hold 630k+ BTC by August 31?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.37
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397.25
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $352.95
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?
Ends Aug 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.55
Reds position
Reds vs. Cardinals
Ends Sep 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.36
No position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.9
Yes position
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.97
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.91
Yankees position
Yankees vs. Orioles
Ends Sep 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.69
Y
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.02
No position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.63
Yes position
Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-19?
Ends Sep 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.88
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.12
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.88
No position
Will Russia capture Udachne before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.3
Dodgers position
Giants vs. Dodgers
Ends Sep 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.73
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.3
Yes position
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2025-09-19?
Ends Sep 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.85
Mets position
Nationals vs. Mets
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 31% 1,003.23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 29% 1,071.42 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95% 337.89 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 28% 1,071.43 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 43% 266.74 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 43% 352.47 shares
- MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 11-17?No 9% 3,333.61 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes 58% 876.07 shares
- Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 11-17?Yes 97.9% 518.89 shares
- MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 11-17?No 20.7% 1,008.41 shares
- Russian strike on Poland by December 31?No 94% 222.22 shares
- Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 11-17?Yes 93% 518.89 shares