Polymarket Trader

CondeDeBelloch

0x72bbbbaaf12a529e0afed34ae77dac30f89eef39

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $349.88
Realized PnL: $71.24
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $965.82K
Potential profit: $965.82K
User PnL: -$1.8K

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $179.25
Potential payout: $377.36
Potential profit: $198.11
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$20.75

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$100

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.04
Potential profit: $234.04
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $98.41
Potential payout: $165.4
Potential profit: $66.99
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$12.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $92.59
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $24.17
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$2.5

Rico position

Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.99
Potential profit: $28.99
User PnL: -$20

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $23.53
User PnL: -$20

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.22
Potential profit: $15.22
User PnL: -$10.2

No position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $9.89
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $1.1
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $9.89
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $9.87
Potential payout: $10.33
Potential profit: $0.46
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $9.94
Potential payout: $10.11
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $4.41
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.6%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $2.61
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.33

No position

Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.26

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.81

No position

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $3.59

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $2.16

No position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.82

No position

Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 429,500 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 6,000 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 90% 5.55 shares
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

No 98.9% 2.12 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 94.7% 5.68 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 12,500 shares
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

No 86% 7.93 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 94.1% 5.49 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 90% 6.02 shares
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

No 83% 8.62 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 107,500 shares
Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 97.5% 10.4 shares