Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $315.63
- Potential profit
- $315.63
- User PnL
- -$110
Polymarket Trader
vcxvsdfads
@ArmidaPava16103
0x72c1d92eba060796617af8288c0f997637275f25
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.47
- Realized PnL
- $95.45
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $35.29
- Potential payout
- $73.53
- Potential profit
- $38.24
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$14.71
No position
Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $30.81
- Potential payout
- $32.93
- Potential profit
- $2.12
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Jordan position
Spread: Austria (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.65
- Potential profit
- $17.65
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $1.79
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19
No position
Doge ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.26
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.41
Yes position
Will Barcelona beat Real Madrid?
Ends May 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
No position
Was Trump hacked?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Giorgia Meloni attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Jordan 51% 17.65 shares
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes 52% 9.62 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 68% 73.53 shares
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?Yes 99.5% 35.18 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 91.1% 32.93 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 78% 100 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 99.6% 20.08 shares
- Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No 95.8% 63.58 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 96.2% 10.4 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 95% 70.85 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 39% 28.21 shares
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?Yes 91.9% 59.29 shares