No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$6
Polymarket Trader
0x72c410b658FD82A827f4B2e6fcbCbe1C4508a25C-1778299024241
0x72c410b658fd82a827f4b2e6fcbcbe1c4508a25c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.95
- Realized PnL
- $25.91
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $783.76
- Potential profit
- $783.76
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.42
- Potential profit
- $147.42
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$2
Ilia Topuria position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Derrick Lewis position
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Labour leadership election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $75.92
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $3.28
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $54.72
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.33
- Potential profit
- $48.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $2.44
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $35.06
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $5.23
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $32.27
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- $2.23
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.6%
- Current value
- $19.18
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $14.15
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $16.18
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $6.26
- Potential payout
- $30.93
- Potential profit
- $24.67
- Multiplier
- 4.94x
- User PnL
- $3.26
Texas Rangers position
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.69
- Potential profit
- $29.69
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $20.36
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Colorado Rockies position
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.2%
- Current value
- $4.02
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $12.64
- Multiplier
- 4.14x
- User PnL
- $3.02
Cheddy position
The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $9.71
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.52
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.52
Yes position
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Detroit Tigers position
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Jakub Mensik position
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.42x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.26x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47%
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 17% 11.76 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 8.6% 23.26 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 9.7% 30.93 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 8% 37.5 shares
- Labour leadership election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No 1.3% 76.92 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 0.2% 193.71 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 2.8% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 0.7% 92.3 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 8% 37.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 3.4% 58 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 2% 147.42 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 3.8% 52.63 shares