No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $174.38
- Potential payout
- $192.68
- Potential profit
- $18.31
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Polymarket Trader
DaDDeR
0x72cc2e72875c561d70e89e4744aaf978cdb2a941
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $302.91
- Realized PnL
- $49.01
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $58.92
- Potential payout
- $63.7
- Potential profit
- $4.78
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.92
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $30.37
- Potential payout
- $30.98
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $25.96
- Potential payout
- $28.37
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $5.11
- Potential payout
- $5.37
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $2.2
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
US defaults on debt by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $1.08
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.53
No position
Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.54
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.66
No position
Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
No position
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
New pandemic before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Bird flu pandemic in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
New pandemic in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Monkeypox lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Trump recognize Somaliland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Megaquake in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Interstellar object confirmed aliens?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Tether insolvent in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 90.2% 1.11 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 12.05 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 79% 6.33 shares
- Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?No 98% 5.29 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?No 98.2% 11.2 shares
- Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?No 98.3% 10.5 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 91.8% 1.09 shares
- Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?No 92% 2.17 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.2% 7.28 shares
- Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No 93.2% 5.36 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?No 99% 15.66 shares
- Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No 82% 6.57 shares