Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.6%
- Current value
- $5.44
- Potential payout
- $9.96
- Potential profit
- $4.52
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $2.82
Polymarket Trader
caserea
0x72d7524b5b5c98df2a3c037252f4c4fd79e2e699
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.23
- Realized PnL
- $32.35
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $7.8
- Potential profit
- $6.01
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.35
No position
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Pacers position
Hawks vs. Pacers
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Bruins position
Capitals vs. Bruins
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Bruins position
Bruins vs. Capitals
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Hawks position
Magic vs. Hawks
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Nuggets position
Rockets vs. Nuggets
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 26.3% 9.96 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No 67.6% 3.05 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Yes 72% 3.38 shares
- Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes 55.3% 2.71 shares
- Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No 33% 5.94 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No 72% 4.24 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 65% 2.77 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 66.5% 3.65 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 56% 4.34 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?No 76% 2.82 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?Yes 63% 2.7 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?No 79% 3.28 shares