No position
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $19.64
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Polymarket Trader
Tobyj6
0x72dea1e682173bb0cd7ecfe4c00b74ce2f9e388e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.61
- Realized PnL
- $13.76
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $19.97
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 5?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $17
- User PnL
- -$16.66
No position
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$14.64
No position
Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.64
No position
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.2
No position
Will Justin Bieber feature SZA during his Coachella performances?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 4?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will "The Addams Family" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 10)
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 62°F or higher on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will a dozen eggs cost ≥$2.80 in February?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 65 million views on day 4?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?No 99.8% 20 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?No 99.8% 20 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes 98% 19 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 17?Yes 99.9% 20 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?Yes 99.9% 15 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?Yes 97% 15 shares
- Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Yes 99% 20 shares
- Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Yes 97% 20 shares
- Will "The Crash" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Yes 99% 20 shares
- Will "The Crash" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Yes 97.6% 20 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 99.9% 20.02 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?No 99% 20 shares