Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Current value
- $184.48
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 7.38x
- User PnL
- -$115.51
Polymarket Trader
0x72dffaD5A63629896Cf63E51812876AF56116fB1-1772260388845
0x72dffad5a63629896cf63e51812876af56116fb1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $198.63
- Realized PnL
- $112.27
- Win rate
- 90.9%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $14.15
- Potential payout
- $314.35
- Potential profit
- $300.21
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$35.85
Yes position
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.11
- Potential profit
- $147.11
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$18
No position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.24
- Potential profit
- $88.24
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.83
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.84
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.58
No position
Khamenei seen in public by March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.39
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.27
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Khamenei seen in public by March 4?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?Yes 15.9% 314.35 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 23.1% 432.99 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 23.1% 432.9 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 20.2% 495.62 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes 67.9% 747.38 shares
- US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14?Yes 32% 64.93 shares
- US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14?Yes 30.8% 64.93 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes 66.9% 747.39 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?Yes 90.8% 614.09 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?Yes 86% 46.51 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?Yes 88.1% 567.58 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 99.8% 400.63 shares