Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $57.52
- Potential profit
- $48.31
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Polymarket Trader
0x72df...3dbf
0x72dffbc304512adb03e908eaba28338371543dbf
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $90.41
- Realized PnL
- -$1.03
- Win rate
- 53.3%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $9.26
- Potential payout
- $52.89
- Potential profit
- $43.64
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $9.93
- Potential payout
- $38.19
- Potential profit
- $28.26
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $10.14
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $17.64
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $9.82
- Potential payout
- $25.51
- Potential profit
- $15.69
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $9.47
- Potential payout
- $25.25
- Potential profit
- $15.78
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $18.56
- Potential profit
- $18.53
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$17.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $16.94
- Potential profit
- $16.93
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.28
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $14.14
- Potential profit
- $14.12
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.84
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $9.96
- Potential payout
- $10.35
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10.32
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $10.31
- Potential profit
- $10.03
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $8.67
- Potential profit
- $8.65
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.47
- Potential profit
- $6.47
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $6.38
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $2.41
- Potential payout
- $4.88
- Potential profit
- $2.46
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $7.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 1?No 96.9% 10.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?No 96.6% 10.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 1?No 95% 10.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?Yes 18.9% 52.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 1?Yes 26.2% 38.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 1?Yes 17.4% 57.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?Yes 39.6% 25.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?Yes 39.2% 25.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 1?Yes 36% 27.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?Yes 97% 18.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 30?Yes 54% 3.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 30?Yes 19.4% 10.31 shares