0x72e2726646CB3C64707dAEA0f479861E5162Cfd2-1781428776285

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $10.07
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $265.93
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $275.31
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $275.03
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$9.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $271.17
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$5.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $275.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $274.48
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$9.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $273.1
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$7.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $20.7
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $255.3
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $10.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $270.2
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$4.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $275.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $51.06
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $224.94
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $40.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $3.17
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $272.83
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$7.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $37.26
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $238.74
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $26.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $275.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $12.42
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $263.58
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $23.46
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $252.54
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $12.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $56.58
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $219.42
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $45.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $48.3
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $227.7
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $37.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $273.93
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$8.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $275.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $275.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $275.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $269.73
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$10.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $179.73
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$6.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.47

No position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.52

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: -$6.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?