Polymarket Trader

j1pan

0x72f815e351890a4b65a39b739ff9365c0de725fa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $336.06
Realized PnL: $38.47
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $149.45
Potential payout: $175.82
Potential profit: $26.37
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$10.55

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $130.07
Potential payout: $133.74
Potential profit: $3.68
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $50.4
Potential payout: $50.4
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.74
Potential profit: $37.74
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $10.42
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.58
Potential profit: $6.58
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.7
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.7

Under position

Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.17

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Ana Paula Renault be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will "Thrash" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.76

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$1.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

No 97.2% 133.74 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 4?

No 99.2% 50.4 shares
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5

Under 41% 2.44 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 54% 3.7 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 91% 175.82 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 98.1% 132.65 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 98% 132.65 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?

Yes 7% 71.43 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 94.7% 105.6 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 97.7% 102.35 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 87% 17.24 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 47% 8.82 shares