No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $19.21
- Potential payout
- $19.94
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.57
Polymarket Trader
EmeraldMossyStone
0x7319b4811987a232b549d62b5140b4b73d371f48
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.21
- Realized PnL
- $0.19
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 66°F or higher on January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 39°C or higher on January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 56°F or higher on December 29?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 5 above $150?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 52°F or higher on December 29?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) close at >$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 70°F or higher on December 29?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 5 above $480?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of January 5 above $215?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or higher on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on December 30?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $160 on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 50°F or higher on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Gavin Newsom out as California Governor in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the price of XRP be above $2.60 on January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $160 on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the price of XRP be above $2.50 on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.5% 19.94 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 20.48 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 91.4% 20.48 shares
- Will Warren Buffett be richest person on March 31?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will the price of Solana be above $160 on January 5?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 4?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Gavin Newsom out as California Governor in 2025?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No 99.9% 5 shares