Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.08
- Potential profit
- $107.08
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Polymarket Trader
Lenore260
0x7321d32a415c573e634ddb35e4fe1db0d454492c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $137.21
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 11-17?
Ends Mar 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.08
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 63°F or higher on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Mar 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ken Paxton be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.5% 92 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 4.5% 39 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89.2% 17 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes 11.5% 36 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 53% 94 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 53% 94 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 4.8% 132 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 5.8% 132 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 71% 35 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 20% 23 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 98.6% 52 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 98.7% 52 shares