Polymarket Trader

Jbkgdie

0x7340d7d25964ba4186734eff4e40294e72b04e09

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $103.64
Realized PnL: $5.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $650.51
Potential profit: $650.51
User PnL: -$591.97

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $461.48
Potential profit: $461.48
User PnL: -$14.29

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $352.67
Potential profit: $352.67
User PnL: -$99.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $16.17
Potential payout: $114.37
Potential profit: $98.2
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: $6.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.49
Potential profit: $106.49
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.71
Potential profit: $81.71
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.13
Potential profit: $78.13
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.32
Potential profit: $67.32
User PnL: -$20.42

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $61.28
Potential payout: $65.79
Potential profit: $4.51
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.28

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.09
Potential profit: $35.09
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $16.91
Potential payout: $28.43
Potential profit: $11.51
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 61.2%
Current value: $9.27
Potential payout: $15.16
Potential profit: $5.89
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$0.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.15
Potential profit: $14.15
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.38
Potential profit: $9.38
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $1.03
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $484.93

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $423.33

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.86

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.31

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.16

$80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.06

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.61

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.08

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.29

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.71

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.95

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.51

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.54

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.95

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.37

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.03

No position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.25

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.02

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.85

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.52

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.73

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.84

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $101.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

No 56% 17.2 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 63.2% 15.77 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 8.7% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

No 56% 8.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Up 23% 4.35 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 64.1% 12.62 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

No 56% 2.3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 250 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 64.3% 43.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 99.9% 18.18 shares
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 0.5% 25.64 shares