No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $434.14
- Potential payout
- $986.67
- Potential profit
- $552.54
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $85.72
Polymarket Trader
nihon-jin-janai
0x735776387e5a84f971f8effa86dadc74c381917d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $445.61
- Realized PnL
- $260.68
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 14?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $317.94
- Potential profit
- $317.94
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.63
- Potential profit
- $140.63
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 21?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.27
- Potential profit
- $116.27
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98
- Potential profit
- $98
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.77
- Potential profit
- $92.77
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 16?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.95
- Potential profit
- $74.95
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 28?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.09
- Potential profit
- $72.09
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.83
- Potential profit
- $62.83
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $11.48
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $38.53
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $3.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.98
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.27
- Potential profit
- $27.27
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos not be released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.19
- Potential profit
- $22.19
- User PnL
- -$7.12
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.9
- Potential profit
- $21.9
- User PnL
- -$9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$4.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$11.3
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$12.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $44.97
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.56
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.37
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No 35% 80 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No 35% 60 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No 31% 20 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No 30% 110.1 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 95% 99.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETUp 99% 1.01 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETDown 12% 7.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETDown 70% 7.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETDown 20% 4.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp 31% 1.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp 25% 5.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETDown 63% 4.76 shares