Polymarket Trader

0x0B76AE242b057b0948AF845d9DFc0E1dfCa65ce0-1775781657645

0x7359bbbbac1e8476462bfdb43e6349737c263cc7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $155.91
Realized PnL: $44.74
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $53.95
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $209.21
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $3.95

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $248.5
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $9.38
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $115.63
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.63

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $59.15
Potential payout: $70.42
Potential profit: $11.27
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $9.15

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $44.29
Potential profit: $43.19
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $10.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $29.8
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $9.76
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $14.05
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.51
Potential profit: $19.51
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $9.81
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $3.01
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.23

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.2

Max Holloway position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Washington Nationals position

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9

Denver Nuggets position

NBA Summer League: Denver Nuggets vs. Houston Rockets

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Connecticut Sun position

Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Yes 2.1% 47.98 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Max Holloway 99.9% 14.08 shares
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Argentina 77.5% 12.9 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 79.3% 177.8 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Max Holloway 71% 14.08 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026?

Yes 84% 1.19 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?

Yes 75% 1.33 shares
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals AND Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles AND Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

46.3% 20.17 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 51.2% 19.51 shares
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

2.4% 79.17 shares
Fredrik Aursnes: 1+ shots on target AND Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?

11% 17.36 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Yes 1.1% 92.27 shares