Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- User PnL
- -$3.74
Polymarket Trader
WAR.MONITOR
0x735d76978f48c9f05edd8326bf33d4a86b3378cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.35
- Realized PnL
- $8.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- User PnL
- -$60.99
Yes position
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $999.97
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $899.96
- Potential profit
- $899.96
- User PnL
- -$24.99
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $743.79
- Potential profit
- $743.79
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $520.01
- Potential profit
- $520.01
- User PnL
- -$3.39
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$33.98
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $485.37
- Potential profit
- $485.37
- User PnL
- -$2.91
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $405.45
- Potential profit
- $405.45
- User PnL
- -$10.53
Yes position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.98
- Potential profit
- $399.98
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350.01
- Potential profit
- $350.01
- User PnL
- -$16.45
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $348.58
- Potential profit
- $348.58
- User PnL
- -$10.46
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320.4
- Potential profit
- $320.4
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $304.11
- Potential profit
- $304.11
- User PnL
- -$9.12
Yes position
Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $298.65
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$16.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $790.14
Yes position
ChatGPT o3 released today?
Ends Apr 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $718.41
No position
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $714.42
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $640.15
Yes position
ChatGPT o3 released by Friday?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $532.75
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.61
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.12
Yes position
Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.47
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $264.4
No position
Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $206.63
Yes position
Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.52
No position
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $184.27
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.74
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released on August 6?
Ends Aug 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $170.96
Yes position
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.83
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $146.9
Yes position
Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.54
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.34
Yes position
Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $132.05
Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.92
Yes position
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $113.98
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $107.44
Yes position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 1% 10 shares
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.1% 2,000 shares
- NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes 15% 100 shares
- NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes 16% 100 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 2.7% 129.71 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 2.6% 143 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 2.5% 132.74 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 8.3% 100 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes 6.8% 100 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes 6.8% 100 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes 6.8% 100 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes 6.8% 200 shares