No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$392.41
Polymarket Trader
arbitrageking
0x73684d5a11da8d3ca5086c930b88dc0bd8233e51
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.94
- Realized PnL
- $1.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$336
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$81.2
Yes position
Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $3.94
- Potential payout
- $123.27
- Potential profit
- $119.33
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$17.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.2
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.85
KT Rolster Challengers position
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.69
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.67
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.5
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.5
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.88
Yes position
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.84
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 37.5 and 38.0 million views on day 5?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.26
Yes position
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76
CITA Kaizen position
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs EXILE esports (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.42
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
Pistons position
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Bulls
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 29.5% 1,000 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 32.4% 300 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 64% 80 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 80% 120 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No 58% 140 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 99.5% 500 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 83.7% 50 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 67% 50 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No 87% 50 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 67% 50 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No 98.9% 200 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 82% 500 shares