Polymarket Trader

ADRIANCOSTILLA

0x736e3c2ce873ca10b34f2c220eeb138259c7ae9c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.55
Realized PnL: $288.16
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $3.1K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $879.9
Potential profit: $879.9
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $857.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $391.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$197.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$224.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$696.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Yes 1.7% 1,485.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Yes 16.8% 1,485.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 879.9 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 1.8% 1,111.11 shares
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 0.1% 20,000 shares
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 0.6% 3,097.52 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Yes 12.8% 15.63 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Yes 2.9% 71.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Yes 14% 71.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 457.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Yes 2.2% 457.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Yes 39.5% 32.72 shares