Polymarket Trader

AlterKanye

@AlterKanye

0x7373db481e0f158852df10a7f3d178cfdc357701

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $110.37
Realized PnL: $4.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Heung-Min Son be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.17
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $235
Potential profit: $234.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.53

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.93
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.63

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $145.01
Potential profit: $144.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.09

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $74.64
Potential payout: $115.71
Potential profit: $41.08
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $12.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.32
Potential profit: $96.32
User PnL: -$29.2

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.9%
Current value: $11.16
Potential payout: $93.78
Potential profit: $82.62
Multiplier: 8.40x
User PnL: -$11.24

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $65.82
Potential profit: $65.52
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$10.72

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.65
Potential profit: $58.65
User PnL: -$3.86

No position

Starmer out by June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $19.65
Potential payout: $39.27
Potential profit: $19.62
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $4.65

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.73
Potential profit: $38.73
User PnL: -$4.08

No position

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3

No position

Starmer out by June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.6

No position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.37
Potential profit: $16.37
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Haiti?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $13.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.04
Potential profit: $13.04
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.05
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $9.44
Potential profit: $7.69
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$1.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576.99

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $469.51

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425.72

Yes position

Will Johannes Kaiser win between 13% and 16% of votes in the first round?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $347.77

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.31

No position

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.74

Yes position

Will the Red Bloc win by 4–7 seats?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.87

Yes position

Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.68

Yes position

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.94

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 55% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.49

Yes position

Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.97

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.12

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $147.97

Yes position

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3750000 and 4000000?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $136.47

No position

Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $112.85

No position

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.39

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: November

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.84

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $103.57

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $87.53

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.87

No position

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $82.4

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.17

No position

Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.2% 39.27 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

No 10.2% 9.8 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 71% 49.15 shares
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Yes 16.1% 62.02 shares
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Yes 4.7% 39.11 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 37.9% 21.29 shares
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Yes 17% 11.76 shares
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Yes 4% 30 shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 16% 57.64 shares
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?

Yes 0.1% 0.44 shares
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 100 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 111.11 shares