Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $273.66
- Potential payout
- $4.21K
- Potential profit
- $3.94K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$273.66
Polymarket Trader
mongablob
0x737f98a121ab6513caa42fa5ab63d5632ac8b3e8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $587.71
- Realized PnL
- $175.09
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $293.28
- Potential payout
- $3.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.79K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $93.28
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $470
- Potential profit
- $470
- User PnL
- -$47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $406.46
- Potential profit
- $406.46
- User PnL
- -$46.8
Yes position
Ethereum all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175.44
- Potential profit
- $175.44
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $20.76
- Potential payout
- $84.75
- Potential profit
- $63.98
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$29.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.09
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.93
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.89
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETDown 11.5% 378.8 shares
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 6.5% 3,087.15 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 13% 4,210.23 shares
- Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes 59% 84.75 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?Yes 10% 500 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 72% 138.89 shares
- Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes 69% 144.93 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 87.7% 59.41 shares
- Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes 46% 126.09 shares
- Ethereum all time high by December 31?Yes 57% 175.44 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 86.3% 115.87 shares