Yes position
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.7
- Potential profit
- $110.7
- User PnL
- -$29.89
Polymarket Trader
mattromonichols
0x7380295fb5170a33a74c5161eb2e7fdbc8db7193
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $182.11
- Realized PnL
- $312.34
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.58
- Potential profit
- $81.58
- User PnL
- -$31
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $18.37
- Potential payout
- $46.51
- Potential profit
- $28.14
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.63
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $29.27
- Potential payout
- $29.52
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $3.82
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $22.07
- Potential payout
- $24.93
- Potential profit
- $2.87
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $3.12
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $21.37
- Potential payout
- $22.57
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.37
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $15.85
- Potential payout
- $18.99
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.99
- Potential profit
- $18.99
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $17.28
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $7.4
- Potential payout
- $12.65
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.9
- Potential payout
- $12.05
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.75
- Potential profit
- $11.75
- User PnL
- -$9.4
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $10.76
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $9.74
- Potential payout
- $11.27
- Potential profit
- $1.52
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $8.51
- Potential payout
- $8.54
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
GTA VI released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- -$5.1
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $5.36
- Potential payout
- $6.06
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Thursday?
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.74
- Potential profit
- $5.74
- User PnL
- -$4.65
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $5.7
- Potential profit
- $4.58
- Multiplier
- 5.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.88
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $4.11
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.74
No position
Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.41
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.66
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.7
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.26
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.93
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.35
Yes position
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.21
Yes position
No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.14
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.46
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.89
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.29
Ohio State position
Ohio State vs. Texas
Ends Jan 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.17
No position
Will Trump say "drill baby drill" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.06
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.97
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.89
Yes position
Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President before GTA VI?No 50% 11.2 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No 50.4% 69.1 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No 50.5% 69.11 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?No 99.9% 35.92 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 86.2% 29.52 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 76% 24.93 shares
- Blue wave in 2026?Yes 72% 26.93 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 72.6% 25.44 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 80% 23.52 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 92.1% 8.85 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 83% 12.05 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?No 83.5% 35.93 shares