Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.32K
- Potential profit
- $7.32K
- User PnL
- -$40.65
Polymarket Trader
xobie3
0x738f766db3b93dac832fd03d5f7d53aff07588c4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.58
- Realized PnL
- $66.27
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.86K
- Potential profit
- $5.86K
- User PnL
- -$16.99
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.12K
- Potential profit
- $4.12K
- User PnL
- -$108.59
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $14.52
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $820.65
- Potential profit
- $820.65
- User PnL
- -$41.65
Yes position
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $765.31
- Potential profit
- $765.31
- User PnL
- -$31.2
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $665.33
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $285.71
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $239.24
- Potential profit
- $239.24
- User PnL
- -$39.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.39
- Potential profit
- $124.39
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.64
- Potential profit
- $52.64
- User PnL
- -$3
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 5, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $1.82
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $43.63
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.18
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Cabinet meeting on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.6
- Potential profit
- $32.6
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $28.81
- Potential profit
- $26.65
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $18.47
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.2
- Potential profit
- $11.2
- User PnL
- -$2.91
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Mount Rushmore" during Tribute to America Rally?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $6.99
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $3.21
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $1.99
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.51
- Potential profit
- $2.51
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.96
No position
Will Trump say "Veteran" during healthcare event?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32
Yes position
Will Trump say "Trump" 3+ times during healthcare event?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fake News" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will Trump say "Made in America" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.77x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Trump say "Ballroom" at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
US bank failure by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Ends Oct 24, 2027- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Yes position
Will Trump say "Pope" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.3% 537.69 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.3% 537.69 shares
- Will Trump say "Mount Rushmore" during Tribute to America Rally?Yes 49% 10.2 shares
- Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?Yes 5.2% 19.23 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.3% 666.67 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 5, 2026?No 11% 45.45 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.2% 159.21 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes 0.3% 4,112.81 shares
- Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?Yes 7.3% 260.94 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.4% 187 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.2% 288.39 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes 2.7% 1,421.01 shares