BigMer7

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $142.5
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $93.21
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $9.21

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$157.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$27.9

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.49
Potential payout: $997.13
Potential profit: $993.64
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$6.51

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.81
Potential payout: $975.67
Potential profit: $967.86
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$2.19

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $61.98
Potential payout: $932.03
Potential profit: $870.05
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$20.02

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $676.92
Potential profit: $676.92
User PnL: -$20.2

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $641.25
Potential profit: $641.25
User PnL: -$23.27

Yes position

Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $102.95
Potential payout: $623.91
Potential profit: $520.96
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$2.47

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $35.38
Potential payout: $610
Potential profit: $574.62
Multiplier: 17.24x
User PnL: -$43.92

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $523.74
Potential profit: $512.74
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $447.08
Potential profit: $447.08
User PnL: -$21.24

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $13.29
Potential payout: $402.76
Potential profit: $389.47
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: $3.29

Yes position

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $120.56
Potential payout: $370.96
Potential profit: $250.4
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $12.45
Potential payout: $340.96
Potential profit: $328.52
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$50

Liverpool FC position

Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $330
User PnL: -$102.3

Yes position

Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.67
Potential profit: $266.67
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.58
Potential profit: $266.58
User PnL: -$18.66

Paris Saint-Germain FC position

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $252.75
Potential profit: $252.75
User PnL: -$50.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.54
Potential profit: $234.54
User PnL: -$11.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.02

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $62.17

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.66

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.08

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $44.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.4

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.23

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.82

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.78

Over position

SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.68

Yes position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $17.38

England position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.15

Yes position

Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.45

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET