No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $5.44
Polymarket Trader
cielpaxton6671
0x7392c6c39e35f66d3c8efcd24ff03a3b63510e24
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $12.15
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard be out as Director of National Intelligence in Trump's first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $5.44
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard be out as Director of National Intelligence in Trump's first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the Conservative Party win by 50 or more seats?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will KSI win the match?
Ends Mar 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90 and 94?
Ends May 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Starmer out before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Georgia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 76.8% 26 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 54% 68 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 95.7% 42 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 96.9% 42 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.1% 30 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 57% 61 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No 96.4% 43 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes 7.1% 76 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes 11.5% 77 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 56% 62 shares
- Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?No 99.4% 9 shares
- Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?Yes 2.9% 28 shares