oijfoijwoiroiwoirui2

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $22.45K
Potential payout: $24K
Potential profit: $1.55K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.57K

No position

Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $195.8
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $191.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $8.3
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

New pandemic in 2026?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $179
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $21
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $195.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $168
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $32
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $172.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $27.1
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $183
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $17
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.9%
Current value: $177.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $22.3
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $157.99
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $42
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$14

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 88.8%
Current value: $177.47
Potential payout: $199.97
Potential profit: $22.5
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$13.25

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $178.94
Potential payout: $199.93
Potential profit: $20.99
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $156.82
Potential payout: $199.77
Potential profit: $42.95
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$15.94

No position

Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $196.03
Potential payout: $199.22
Potential profit: $3.19
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $192.64
Potential payout: $199
Potential profit: $6.37
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$1.79

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $173.61
Potential payout: $198.41
Potential profit: $24.8
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$6.68

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 79.3%
Current value: $153.75
Potential payout: $194.01
Potential profit: $40.26
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$28.13

No position

Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $96.82
Potential payout: $111.93
Potential profit: $15.11
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $91.52
Potential payout: $100.02
Potential profit: $8.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $98.61
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $1.4
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $98.91
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $1.1
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $97.56
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $2.45
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $97.36
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $2.65
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 62.6%
Current value: $62.65
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $37.36
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$25.76

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.9

No position

Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.98

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.72

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.61

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.77

No position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.64

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.33

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $28.55

No position

Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.33

No position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.67

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.16

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.16

No position

Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.24

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.21

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.78

No position

Maduro out by November 30, 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.53

No position

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.04

No position

Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.98

No position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.45

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?