Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.25
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$54.05
Polymarket Trader
VanessaNelson
0x739abf459d1a0f16f8a706d0cb945685cc939162
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $98.9
- Realized PnL
- $39.93
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Current value
- $22.7
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $77.3
- Multiplier
- 4.41x
- User PnL
- $19.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $74.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $25.55
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $45.17
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $54
- User PnL
- -$34.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.34
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or higher on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 56-57°F on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C or below on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 3.3% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 55.8% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 29.3% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on June 15?No 99.8% 32.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on May 24?No 99.9% 28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 24?No 99.9% 33 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?Yes 99.8% 25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes 29% 54 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes 63% 54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 56-57°F on May 19?No 99.9% 35.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 19?No 99.8% 46.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on May 16?No 99.9% 45.05 shares