Polymarket Trader

0x739c12e142bab0db71389E6Ac2E5fa94dD19a146-1761326815861

0x739c12e142bab0db71389e6ac2e5fa94dd19a146

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $278.46
Realized PnL: $688.77
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $88.88
Potential payout: $102.75
Potential profit: $13.87
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $9.88

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $66.31
Potential payout: $77.11
Potential profit: $10.8
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $16.31

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $59.87
Potential payout: $65.79
Potential profit: $5.92
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $9.87

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $38
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $12
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $17.5

No position

Will Trump praise Susan Dell by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $25.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $14.6
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $1.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.56

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

Yes position

Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.71

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.91

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.73

No position

Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

No position

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $42.18

No position

Will MrBeast's robot race video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.05

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.87

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

No position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.37

No position

Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.22

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.48

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.58

No position

Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48

No position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.76

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.73

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.73

No position

Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.84

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.38

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Will Trump and Robert Fico handshake last 6–10 seconds?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

No 76% 65.79 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

No 39% 87.35 shares
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Yes 33% 45 shares
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Yes 98.8% 11.76 shares
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

No 96% 159.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Up 99% 5.05 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by June 30, 2026?

No 64.8% 77.11 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?

No 76.9% 102.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Down 56% 17.59 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Down 1% 499.99 shares
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Yes 85% 11.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Down 82% 6.06 shares