0x73a8c0AB4C7d2f1d5de65700782826768007a8b7-1761424142449

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $509.93
Potential profit: $509.93
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $368.91
Potential profit: $368.91
User PnL: -$17.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.95
Potential profit: $288.95
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.95
Potential profit: $270.95
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or higher on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.53
Potential profit: $259.53
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.53
Potential profit: $236.53
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.07
Potential profit: $210.07
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202.63
Potential profit: $202.63
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $176.14
Potential payout: $176.23
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $26.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $175
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.67
Potential profit: $171.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.58
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.86
Potential profit: $161.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.38
Potential profit: $129.38
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.58
Potential profit: $125.58
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.22
Potential profit: $122.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.76
Potential profit: $107.76
User PnL: -$11.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.37
Potential profit: $106.37
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.86
Potential profit: $105.86
User PnL: -$16.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $104.17
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.93
Potential profit: $98.93
User PnL: -$12.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.83
Potential profit: $78.83
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.21
Potential profit: $78.21
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C or higher on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.26
Potential profit: $73.26
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.35
Potential profit: $61.35
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.85
Potential profit: $60.85
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.96
Potential profit: $53.96
User PnL: -$39.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.9
Potential profit: $53.9
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.38
Potential profit: $52.38
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.42
Potential profit: $50.42
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.13
Potential profit: $48.13
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.64
Potential profit: $45.64
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$7.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.8
Potential profit: $41.8
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.29
Potential profit: $41.29
User PnL: -$7.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.44
Potential profit: $40.44
User PnL: -$20.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.86
Potential profit: $39.86
User PnL: -$18.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.82
Potential profit: $36.82
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.65
Potential profit: $36.65
User PnL: -$4.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.74
Potential profit: $35.74
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.34
Potential profit: $33.34
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.74

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.62

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET