Yes position
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.64K
- Potential profit
- $5.64K
- User PnL
- -$377.43
Polymarket Trader
Tltbkbt
0x73ab8630e1bbc3c24eedfc6e374d3d958fb85468
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.22
- Realized PnL
- $2.14K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$150
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- User PnL
- -$23.01
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- User PnL
- -$208.99
Yes position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $979.99
- Potential profit
- $979.99
- User PnL
- -$147
Yes position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $610.56
- Potential profit
- $608.42
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$163.63
Yes position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.51
- Potential profit
- $161.51
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.93
- Potential profit
- $58.93
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $16.28
- Potential profit
- $16.2
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.92
Yes position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $12.82
- User PnL
- -$3.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $963.59
Yes position
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $642.93
Yes position
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.69
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.19
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.3
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.58
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.55
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.76
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.22
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
Yes position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 43% 4.65 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 43% 2.33 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 27.3% 588.88 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 12% 14.7 shares
- Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 4.1% 13.18 shares
- Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 4% 8 shares
- Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 0.8% 406.97 shares
- Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 1.2% 68.56 shares
- Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 1.1% 91.02 shares
- Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 0.8% 247.4 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 43% 16.28 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?Yes 29% 10.34 shares