norulesnvr

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.35K
Potential profit: $5.35K
User PnL: -$1.21K

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.59K
Potential profit: $2.59K
User PnL: -$788.1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $2.15K
User PnL: -$8.59

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.73K
User PnL: -$758.69

Yes position

Will Boston Celtics advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$999.12

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
User PnL: -$14.6

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$399.98

Yes position

Will Wolfgang Grozo finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $252.99
Potential profit: $252.99
User PnL: -$9.78

Yes position

Will Jorge Nieto finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123
Potential profit: $123
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 10% and 15%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82
Potential profit: $82
User PnL: -$10.72

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 5% and 10%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82
Potential profit: $82
User PnL: -$8.49

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 15%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82
Potential profit: $82
User PnL: -$7.83

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82
Potential profit: $82
User PnL: -$7.78

Yes position

Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $17.14
Potential payout: $28.1
Potential profit: $10.96
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $7.72
Potential payout: $28.09
Potential profit: $20.37
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $3.32

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $20.88
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $13.99
Potential payout: $14.91
Potential profit: $0.92
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3K

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04K

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.58K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29K

No position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35K

Yes position

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12K

76ers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65K

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

Yes position

Will BTC close above $106K on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

No position

NBA: SGA Award Parlay

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

No position

Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: February

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

No position

Bitcoin above $84,000 on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Thunder position

NBA Finals: Thunder vs. Pacers

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

Zohran Mamdani Parlay

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.1K

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $968.59

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $735.1

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576.21

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?