No position
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $34
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $46
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Polymarket Trader
jinbaotongnv
0x73cbe8c0468a9cc3f157997ea736a250f6be7627
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41.84
- Realized PnL
- $74.61
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $7.84
- Potential payout
- $15.53
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.77
No position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $18.46
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.22
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
Down position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $2.31
Marie Bouzkova position
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yakult Brothers position
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Team Vitality position
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Up position
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Lindorfitos position
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Lindorfitos (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Vici Gaming position
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Over position
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
LGD Gaming position
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Lindorfitos (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Y
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes 60% 7.38 shares
- Labour leadership election scheduled by July 31?No 14.3% 15 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?Yes 77% 3.8 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?No 45% 4 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?Yes 42% 3.99 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?No 22% 6 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 73% 1.72 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?Yes 44% 2.56 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes 8.3% 8.35 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?No 45% 14 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?No 45% 14 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?No 45% 14 shares