Polymarket Trader

offroadtms

0x73d7099e4079bdd9c5f5ab0c05758e2de4aa11b2

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $2.25K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $6.33K
Potential profit: $5.22K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$404.57

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.89K
Potential profit: $2.89K
User PnL: -$111

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $280
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.72K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $30.24
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.92K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$8.71

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $51.65
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $1.83K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$426.44

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $8.03
Potential payout: $642.13
Potential profit: $634.11
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$3.97

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $46.88
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $578.13
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $250
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $276.32
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $5.27
Potential payout: $502.01
Potential profit: $496.74
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$13.73

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72.6%
Current value: $277.01
Potential payout: $381.55
Potential profit: $104.55
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $177.01

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $362.9
Potential profit: $362.9
User PnL: -$13

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $342.22
Potential profit: $342.22
User PnL: -$88

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $51
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $149
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$45

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $139.86
Potential payout: $148
Potential profit: $8.14
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $80.66

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.47
Potential profit: $137.47
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$7.8

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.61
Potential profit: $119.61
User PnL: -$32.85

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $6.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.85
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Kash Patel out by April 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $69.23
Potential profit: $68.4
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$8.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.82
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$3.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 26.2% 381.55 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 39% 2 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 40% 150 shares
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 29% 3.45 shares
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 27% 3.7 shares
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Yes 22% 4.55 shares
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 30% 3.33 shares
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 17% 5.88 shares
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Yes 27% 3.7 shares
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Yes 16% 250 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 78.2% 500 shares
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Yes 21% 571.43 shares