novanotrader

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.87K
Potential profit: $2.87K
User PnL: -$804.72

No position

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.68K
Potential profit: $2.68K
User PnL: -$749.99

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $994
Potential profit: $994
User PnL: -$536.76

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $643.07
Potential payout: $887
Potential profit: $243.93
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $93.13

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $404
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $396
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$12

No position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $774.68
Potential profit: $774.68
User PnL: -$294.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555
Potential profit: $555
User PnL: -$249.75

No position

Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $47.95
Potential payout: $84.89
Potential profit: $36.93
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$9.77

No position

Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $31.17
Potential payout: $38.72
Potential profit: $7.55
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $12.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.81
Potential profit: $29.81
User PnL: -$5.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$0.29

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.05
Potential profit: $10.05
User PnL: -$4.32

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.3

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.87
Potential payout: $9.87
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $434.66

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET