Polymarket Trader

0x740059c08b36fA738037A285EFF228f3948b0875-1777925051606

0x740059c08b36fa738037a285eff228f3948b0875

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $129.8
Realized PnL: -$180.48
Win rate: 36.8%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $995.5
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $30.82
Potential payout: $206.15
Potential profit: $175.33
Multiplier: 6.69x
User PnL: $25.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $61
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $29.13
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $28.56
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $24.32
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $21.14
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $14.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $3.86
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $39
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will Toulouse win the 2026 Top 14 Final?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $24.27
Potential payout: $37.34
Potential profit: $13.07
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$5.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 24.6%
Current value: $7.7
Potential payout: $31.35
Potential profit: $23.65
Multiplier: 4.07x
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $3.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.3
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.19

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.84

Yes position

Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

Will Union Bordeaux Begles win?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.78

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$6.71

No position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.34

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$87.5

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$120

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 15% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 7% 42.86 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 1.6% 62.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 206.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 31.9% 31.35 shares
Will Toulouse win the 2026 Top 14 Final?

Yes 80.3% 37.34 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Down 66% 7.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Down 84% 29.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Up 73% 34.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Down 63% 7.94 shares