Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $527
- Potential profit
- $526.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$172.96
Polymarket Trader
0x74102b1177F4BE8cE2b3A08aD13F24c757Eb5296-1764377593930
0x74102b1177f4be8ce2b3a08ad13f24c757eb5296
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $57.4
- Realized PnL
- -$4.49
- Win rate
- 34.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.08
- Potential profit
- $166.08
- User PnL
- -$4.41
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.28
- Potential profit
- $86.28
- User PnL
- -$5.95
No position
US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $35
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $26.16
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $13.13
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$5.85
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.51
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $10.98
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Cavaliers position
1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7.4
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Yes position
Will another team win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.62
No position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $9.96
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.96
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.46
- Potential profit
- $6.46
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on May 26?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Stars position
Avalanche vs. Stars
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.49
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Michigan Wolverines position
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.11
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$17.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Yes 39% 5 shares
- Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Yes 39% 5 shares
- Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Yes 39% 5 shares
- US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?No 98.9% 5 shares
- US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?Yes 87% 5 shares
- US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?Yes 80% 5 shares
- US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?Yes 60% 5 shares
- US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?Yes 60% 8 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on May 26?Yes 0.1% 5 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 21.3% 10 shares
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Cavaliers 95% 5 shares
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Cavaliers 53% 5 shares