Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$64
Polymarket Trader
cgbt
@cwsuc2
0x741991c794c1a6586240a25ed7570891e25ad545
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.48
- Realized PnL
- -$66.32
- Win rate
- 88.9%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $14.48
- Potential payout
- $180.95
- Potential profit
- $166.47
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$18.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $64
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.27
Yes position
Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.58
No position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.92
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$180.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Yes 32% 100 shares
- Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Yes 86% 10.5 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No 20% 418.71 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No 93% 28 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No 20% 10 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No 20% 150 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No 20% 130.7 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No 93% 183.21 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No 94% 20 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No 94% 15.01 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes 18% 84.8 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No 94% 200 shares