GaiMavic

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.5
Potential profit: $96.5
User PnL: -$10.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.85
Potential profit: $35.85
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$2.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.91
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.42
Potential profit: $32.42
User PnL: -$3.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.02
Potential profit: $31.02
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $30.23
Potential profit: $30.17
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.84
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.76
Potential profit: $24.76
User PnL: -$7.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $23.82
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.58
Potential profit: $23.58
User PnL: -$5.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.36
Potential profit: $23.36
User PnL: -$3.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.95
Potential profit: $22.95
User PnL: -$3.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.69
Potential profit: $22.69
User PnL: -$3.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.29
Potential profit: $22.29
User PnL: -$3.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.97
Potential profit: $21.97
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $20.53
Potential payout: $20.56
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $15.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $20.2
User PnL: -$3.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $20.2
User PnL: -$2.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.62
Potential profit: $19.62
User PnL: -$4.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.04
Potential profit: $19.04
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.04
Potential profit: $19.04
User PnL: -$1.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on May 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 38-39°F on January 25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on May 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 38-39°F on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 2?