No position
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $47.85
- Potential payout
- $59.85
- Potential profit
- $12
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$7.15
Polymarket Trader
tired1
0x741d5712d29a721666ae8fc1a107246d87a0e4fc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $158.31
- Realized PnL
- $115.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $46.43
- Potential payout
- $58.43
- Potential profit
- $12.01
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$6.57
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $48.05
- Potential payout
- $49.08
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $15.98
- Potential payout
- $16.09
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.66
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.99
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.09
No position
Will Solana hit $210 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.13
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.85
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.72
No position
Will Solana dip to $130 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6200 in August?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Yes position
Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Raptors
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
China x Taiwan military clash by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will Ethereum hit $4000 by February 28 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
Ends Nov 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?No 97.8% 49.08 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July?No 99.4% 16.09 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?No 91.9% 59.85 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 90.7% 58.43 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No 98.8% 135.63 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.2% 15.12 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?No 99.7% 51.15 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 98.4% 22.36 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No 99.4% 37.22 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 35.16 shares
- Trump out as President by April 30?No 99% 30.35 shares
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?No 98.2% 61.1 shares