Polymarket Trader

AbelB

0x742eec708686f6e423aa0f6fca58480ab590e5fd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.4
Realized PnL: $125.75
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $15.43
Potential payout: $75.47
Potential profit: $60.05
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$4.57

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $20.76
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$4.02

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.2
Potential profit: $8.2
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.64

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

No position

Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.06

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.72

No position

Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33

Yes position

Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.78

Yes position

Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.34

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Barcelona win La Liga?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

Yes position

Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Dodgers position

Padres vs. Dodgers

Ends Jun 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

No position

Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24

No position

Will TikTok be banned again before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Royals position

Pirates vs. Royals

Ends Jul 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

No position

Will ICC withdraw its arrest warrant against Netanyahu before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will Netherlands beat Hungary?

Ends Nov 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

No position

Was JFK assassination an inside job?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will Montoya stay with his girlfriend?

Ends Feb 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 32% 15.63 shares
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 32% 15.63 shares
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Yes 61% 8.2 shares
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

No 50.8% 5.61 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 51% 5.68 shares
Trump out as President before GTA VI?

No 48% 5.88 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 26.5% 75.47 shares
Chirayu Rana fired?

Yes 61% 16.39 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 99.2% 16.12 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 62% 16.13 shares
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Yes 65% 30.77 shares
Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?

No 94% 8.77 shares