romanew-1-new

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $501.08
Potential profit: $501.08
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.4% and 0.0%?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $5.9
Potential payout: $268.24
Potential profit: $262.34
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$7.6

Yes position

Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $4.33
Potential payout: $173.15
Potential profit: $168.82
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$4.67

Yes position

Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.34
Potential profit: $171.34
User PnL: -$13.37

Yes position

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.29
Potential profit: $139.29
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Oscar Romero be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $127.46
Potential profit: $127.4
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.44

Yes position

Over $4M committed to the ALIGN public sale?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $120.54
Potential profit: $118.19
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$6.65

Yes position

Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?

Implied probability: 25.3%
Current value: $29.57
Potential payout: $116.89
Potential profit: $87.32
Multiplier: 3.95x
User PnL: $23.61

Yes position

Will James Richardson be the Republican nominee for AL-01?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $93.38
Potential profit: $91.75
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$4.4

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $93.33
Potential profit: $88.34
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$2.42

Yes position

Will Hibachi launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $89.51
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$4.01

Yes position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $5.85
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $84.15
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Will Branko Blanuša be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $88.56
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$3.06

No position

Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$4.5

No position

Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.81
Potential payout: $88.24
Potential profit: $86.43
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$2.69

Yes position

Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by June 30?

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $5.87
Potential payout: $88.24
Potential profit: $82.37
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $3.44
Potential payout: $84.91
Potential profit: $81.47
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will Pump.fun reach $0.0058 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $9.82
Potential payout: $81.8
Potential profit: $71.98
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $80.36
Potential profit: $77.79
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have between 450-475mm of precipitation in June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $78.95
Potential profit: $78.91
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.46

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in June?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $1.36
Potential payout: $77.59
Potential profit: $76.23
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$3.14

Yes position

Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $1.81
Potential payout: $77.12
Potential profit: $75.31
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$5.98

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $70.88
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Tea FDV above $150M one day after launch

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Senegal be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.59
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $72.41
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will Oro launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $2.48
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $72.53
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$2.03

No position

Will o1 launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Kyler Murray be traded?

Ends Jul 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $71.42
Potential profit: $70.92
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $2.11
Potential payout: $70.31
Potential profit: $68.2
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$2.39

Yes position

Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $2.91
Potential payout: $69.23
Potential profit: $66.32
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$1.59

Yes position

Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $2.56
Potential payout: $68.18
Potential profit: $65.62
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $1.84
Potential payout: $68.18
Potential profit: $66.34
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$2.66

Yes position

Will Aécio Neves win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $64.71
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.96

Yes position

Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?

Ends Jan 8, 2027

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $14.81
Potential payout: $64.39
Potential profit: $49.58
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $11.53

Yes position

Will BNB reach $800 in June?

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $64.29
Potential profit: $62.62
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$2.83

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 end of June?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $64.29
Potential profit: $61.72
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will Anthony Zimpfer be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $63.73
Potential profit: $63.7
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.22

Yes position

Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $2.09
Potential payout: $63.38
Potential profit: $61.29
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$2.41

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $4.74
Potential payout: $62.73
Potential profit: $57.99
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: -$4.26

No position

Will Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $62.14
Potential profit: $60.62
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$7.48

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the OK-04 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $56.55
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% by the end of May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.52
Potential profit: $56.52
User PnL: -$3.22

No position

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $370 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.25
Potential profit: $56.25
User PnL: -$4.5

No position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.25
Potential profit: $56.25
User PnL: -$4.5

No position

Will Lionel Messi score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.25
Potential profit: $56.25
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $96 in June?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $54.88
Potential profit: $53.95
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$3.57

Yes position

Will Truist fail by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $2.47
Potential payout: $54.88
Potential profit: $52.41
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$2.03

Yes position

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $2.72
Potential payout: $54.35
Potential profit: $51.63
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.22
Potential profit: $54.22
User PnL: -$4.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.76

Yes position

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?

Implied probability: 75%
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $34.5

Yes position

Will the Arizona Coyotes make the NHL Playoffs?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.87

Yes position

Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.26

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: $17.99

No position

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $17

No position

UFC Freedom 250: Weather Delay?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.41

Yes position

Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.18

No position

Will London have less than 20mm of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.18

No position

Will Google reach $355 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.07

No position

Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $14.82

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.49

Yes position

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $14.06

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.96

No position

Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.89

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $13.83

Yes position

Will Kinetiq reach $1 before 2027?

Implied probability: 14.7%
Multiplier: 6.80x
User PnL: $13.17

Yes position

Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.86

No position

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $12.72

No position

ChatGPT Outage by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.7

No position

Will Meghan Frank be the next CEO of Lululemon?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.66

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Implied probability: 11%
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $12.51

No position

Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?

Implied probability: 77.5%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $12.15

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.01

Yes position

Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.25

No position

Will Mikael Ishak score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.76

Yes position

Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in May?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.57

Yes position

Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 46%
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $10.02

No position

Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $10.01

No position

Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.78

No position

Will Lecce be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.74

No position

Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.7

Yes position

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.68

Yes position

Will Lecce be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.68

Yes position

Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?

Ends Jan 19, 2027

Implied probability: 40.6%
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $9.6

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in June?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $9.59

No position

Will Seoul have less than 100mm of precipitation in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59

No position

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $9.58

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have between 220-230mm of precipitation in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.51

No position

Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.38

Yes position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $9.35

No position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: $9.31

Yes position

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $9.23

Yes position

Will Trump say "Buy Dell Computer" or "Buy a Dell Computer" in May?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.21

No position

MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?