Polymarket Trader

Suirenzirou

0x743d681bb4bba8743cdfc21aa5100fc79c69f77e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.58K
Realized PnL: $8.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $3.85K
Potential payout: $4.47K
Potential profit: $626.28
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $54.86

No position

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $931.26
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $184.02
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$6.92

Yes position

Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $859.3
Potential payout: $922.49
Potential profit: $63.19
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$30.64

Yes position

Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $854.3
Potential payout: $857.73
Potential profit: $3.43
User PnL: $24.87

No position

Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $804.42
Potential payout: $848.99
Potential profit: $44.57
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$7.62

Yes position

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $445.3
Potential payout: $730
Potential profit: $284.7
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $717.81
Potential payout: $724.69
Potential profit: $6.88
User PnL: $121.89

No position

Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $514.99
Potential payout: $647.78
Potential profit: $132.79
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $17.38

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $4.32
Potential payout: $617.64
Potential profit: $613.32
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$396.8

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $457.53
Potential payout: $614.13
Potential profit: $156.6
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $41.13

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $595.8
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $4.2
User PnL: $20.8

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $549.21
Potential payout: $553.36
Potential profit: $4.15
User PnL: $67.86

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $37.92
Potential payout: $541.69
Potential profit: $503.77
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$38.91

No position

Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $531.52
Potential payout: $535
Potential profit: $3.48
User PnL: $25.16

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 90.3%
Current value: $391.68
Potential payout: $433.99
Potential profit: $42.31
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $6.58

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 58 million views on day 2?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $317.89
Potential profit: $317.89
User PnL: -$126.24

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$276

No position

Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $298.95
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $1.05
User PnL: $17.25

San Diego Padres position

Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$177

No position

Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $280.41
Potential payout: $299.9
Potential profit: $19.49
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $49.97

No position

Will Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.89
Potential profit: $250.89
User PnL: -$115.27

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $239.61
Potential payout: $250.12
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $24.63

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $223.01
Potential payout: $237.24
Potential profit: $14.23
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$2.18

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $212.29
Potential profit: $212.29
User PnL: -$125.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $977.87

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $648.88

No position

Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be 60% or higher?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $554.95

No position

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $529.97

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $494.53

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $467.52

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.05

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384.64

Japan position

First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $369.24

No position

Will France win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.71

Japan position

First Round Pool C: Chinese Taipei vs. Japan

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.94

No position

Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 58% and 60%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.44

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.5

Yes position

Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.95

No position

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.71

Venezuela position

Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuela

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.24

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.88

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.36

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.15

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.8

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.46

No position

Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $181.7

No position

Will the Japan Innovation Party be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 Japanese snap election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

No 88.5% 109.99 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

No 69% 100 shares
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 61% 200 shares
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 78% 215.92 shares
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

No 75% 167.51 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

No 69% 80 shares
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 61% 200 shares
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 61% 200 shares
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 92% 150 shares
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 87.1% 253.48 shares
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 78% 287.9 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

No 88.9% 160 shares